How Data Failed Us in Calling an Election

Date: 12/12/2016
Category: Online Publication
Tags: elections,Information Overload,politics,Tools
Source Author: STEVE LOHR and NATASHA SINGER
Source Date: 11/10/2016
Source Name: New York Times
Source URL: Link to Source Article or Site

It was a rough night for number crunchers. And for the faith that people in every field — business, politics, sports and academia — have increasingly placed in the power of data. Donald J. Trump’s victory ran counter to almost every major forecast — undercutting the belief that analyzing reams of data can accurately predict events. Voters demonstrated how much predictive analytics, and election forecasting in particular, remains a young science: Some people may have been misled into thinking Hillary Clinton’s win was assured because some of the forecasts lacked context explaining potentially wide margins of error.

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